| Rank | Ticker | Expiration | Spread (Short/Long) | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | AG | 2026-04-17 | 15.0 / 14.0 | 68.8% | $0.34 | 0.03 |
| #2 | RGTI | 2026-02-20 | 20.0 / 19.0 | 69.9% | $0.32 | 0.02 |
| #3 | MP | 2026-03-20 | 47.0 / 44.0 | 69.4% | $0.90 | -0.02 |
*Negative Freedom Factor = Risk currently outweighs mathematical reward.
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI | 21.0 / 20.0 | 77.3% | $0.12 | -0.11 |
| MRNA | 30.0 / 29.0 | 79.5% | $0.08 | -0.13 |
| AG | 16.0 / 15.0 | 72.6% | $0.14 | -0.13 |
| IREN | 38.0 / 37.0 | 67.8% | $0.18 | -0.14 |
| CDE | 17.5 / 16.5 | 73.4% | $0.10 | -0.17 |
| AAOI | 35.0 / 34.0 | 70.4% | $0.10 | -0.20 |
| SEDG | 28.0 / 27.0 | 72.4% | $0.07 | -0.21 |
| HL | 18.5 / 17.5 | 70.9% | $0.08 | -0.21 |
| ASTS | 68.0 / 65.0 | 72.6% | $0.60 | -0.22 |
| PATH | 16.5 / 15.5 | 69.4% | $0.09 | -0.22 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HL | 18.0 / 17.0 | 72.0% | $0.22 | -0.06 |
| RGTI | 21.0 / 20.0 | 69.1% | $0.24 | -0.07 |
| QBTS | 24.5 / 23.5 | 68.5% | $0.18 | -0.13 |
| CDE | 17.5 / 16.5 | 66.4% | $0.20 | -0.14 |
| IREN | 37.0 / 36.0 | 68.4% | $0.17 | -0.15 |
| CORZ | 14.0 / 13.0 | 73.7% | $0.11 | -0.15 |
| PATH | 16.0 / 15.0 | 75.3% | $0.08 | -0.17 |
| ASTS | 66.0 / 63.0 | 71.4% | $0.68 | -0.18 |
| WRBY | 22.0 / 21.0 | 69.7% | $0.10 | -0.20 |
| W | 98.0 / 95.0 | 69.6% | $0.69 | -0.22 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CORZ | 14.0 / 13.0 | 69.6% | $0.22 | -0.08 |
| PATH | 16.0 / 15.0 | 69.9% | $0.22 | -0.08 |
| QBTS | 24.0 / 23.0 | 69.2% | $0.22 | -0.09 |
| RGTI | 21.0 / 20.0 | 66.6% | $0.24 | -0.09 |
| IREN | 36.0 / 35.0 | 70.5% | $0.21 | -0.09 |
| HL | 18.0 / 17.0 | 68.7% | $0.21 | -0.10 |
| AG | 15.5 / 14.5 | 70.3% | $0.19 | -0.11 |
| MRNA | 29.0 / 28.0 | 73.2% | $0.15 | -0.12 |
| CDE | 17.0 / 16.0 | 70.3% | $0.15 | -0.15 |
| SEDG | 27.0 / 26.0 | 70.8% | $0.11 | -0.18 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI | 20.0 / 19.0 | 72.5% | $0.23 | -0.05 |
| PATH | 16.0 / 15.0 | 68.4% | $0.24 | -0.08 |
| AG | 15.5 / 14.5 | 69.0% | $0.23 | -0.08 |
| MRNA | 29.0 / 28.0 | 70.7% | $0.20 | -0.09 |
| CDE | 17.0 / 16.0 | 68.6% | $0.20 | -0.11 |
| HL | 17.5 / 16.5 | 72.1% | $0.17 | -0.11 |
| SEDG | 27.0 / 26.0 | 68.6% | $0.10 | -0.21 |
| MP | 48.0 / 45.0 | 72.3% | $0.60 | -0.23 |
| W | 96.0 / 93.0 | 69.8% | $0.67 | -0.24 |
| AFRM | 71.0 / 68.0 | 70.3% | $0.65 | -0.24 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HL | 17.5 / 16.5 | 70.1% | $0.18 | -0.12 |
| RGTI | 20.0 / 19.0 | 71.6% | $0.13 | -0.15 |
| IREN | 36.0 / 35.0 | 68.4% | $0.17 | -0.15 |
| CORZ | 13.5 / 12.5 | 71.1% | $0.11 | -0.18 |
| MRNA | 29.0 / 28.0 | 68.7% | $0.05 | -0.26 |
| MP | 48.0 / 45.0 | 70.2% | $0.60 | -0.29 |
| KTOS | 72.0 / 69.0 | 68.7% | $0.15 | -0.79 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 48.0 / 45.0 | 69.0% | $0.65 | -0.28 |
| AFRM | 69.0 / 66.0 | 69.7% | $0.10 | -0.81 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI | 20.0 / 19.0 | 69.9% | $0.32 | 0.02 |
| AG | 15.0 / 14.0 | 70.1% | $0.27 | -0.03 |
| MP | 48.0 / 45.0 | 68.5% | $0.90 | -0.04 |
| CORZ | 13.0 / 12.0 | 73.3% | $0.20 | -0.07 |
| PATH | 16.0 / 15.0 | 65.2% | $0.28 | -0.07 |
| HL | 17.0 / 16.0 | 71.5% | $0.21 | -0.08 |
| MRNA | 28.0 / 27.0 | 72.0% | $0.19 | -0.09 |
| IREN | 35.0 / 34.0 | 69.7% | $0.20 | -0.10 |
| INFY | 17.0 / 16.0 | 72.9% | $0.15 | -0.12 |
| AFRM | 67.5 / 65.0 | 72.3% | $0.50 | -0.19 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 47.0 / 44.0 | 69.4% | $0.90 | -0.02 |
| HL | 17.0 / 16.0 | 70.8% | $0.26 | -0.03 |
| MRNA | 28.0 / 27.0 | 70.0% | $0.24 | -0.06 |
| CORZ | 13.0 / 12.0 | 72.1% | $0.21 | -0.07 |
| AFRM | 67.5 / 65.0 | 71.1% | $0.65 | -0.07 |
| IREN | 35.0 / 34.0 | 69.6% | $0.20 | -0.10 |
| W | 92.5 / 90.0 | 69.4% | $0.65 | -0.11 |
| RUN | 18.0 / 17.0 | 68.4% | $0.19 | -0.13 |
| VRT | 150.0 / 145.0 | 69.9% | $1.35 | -0.16 |
| WDC | 160.0 / 155.0 | 70.6% | $1.00 | -0.47 |